RealClimate: The AMOC: tipping this century, or not?

A few weeks ago, a study by Copenhagen University researchers Peter and Susanne Ditlevsen concluded that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is likely to pass a tipping point already this century, most probably around mid-century. Given the catastrophic consequences of an AMOC breakdown, the study made quite a few headlines but also met some skepticism. Now that the dust has settled, here some thoughts on the criticisms that have been raised about this study.

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RealClimate: AMOC

Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course

Slow and soft passage through tipping point of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a changing climate

No, the Gulf Stream isn't going to collapse - Big Think

Scientists warn of current 'tipping point' in Atlantic Ocean: 'Significant' effects on climate

How the Atlantic Ocean circulation could reach its switch-off tipping point

Climate Citizen: A North Atlantic nasty surprise: AMOC slowing faster than expected

July, 2023 RealClimate